Market Insight - NVIDIA RESUME H20 Sales to China Positive for Chinese Cloud Providers - Global X ETFs Hong Kong

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Market Insight –
NVIDIA RESUME H20 Sales to China Positive for Chinese Cloud Providers

By: Jeff Huang

NVIDIA announced on 14 July that it will resume H20 sales to China soon, as the company gets assurance from the US government that licenses will be granted to NVIDIA for such sales. The deal is part of US-China rare earths talks and comes as a positive surprise to the market, as NVIDIA wrote off US$5.5bn of inventory in April due to US chip restriction. Additionally, NVIDIA also announced new AI chip

Implications

We believe the resumption of H20 sales is positive for large cap internet cloud service providers as it sustains their CAPEX plan and revives market narratives around AI. The initial wave of AI advancements, catalyzed by the rise of Deepseek, gradually receded since April. During this time, the share prices of major internet cloud providers and software/AI firms have experienced a correction of over 15% from their peak in March (Mirae Asset, July 2025).

The rise of Deepseek and other high performing AI models in China brings substantial AI demand, leading to the announcement of CAPEX scale up plans for major internet cloud service providers (for example Alibaba announced CAPEX investment of Rmb380bn in the next 3 years (Alibaba, February 2025); Tencent announced CAPEX at “low teens” percentage of their revenue (Tencent, March, 2025)). However, the US restrictions on high-performance chip exports have cast a shadow over CAPEX plans for Chinese companies, which has become a key financial metric that shapes investment sentiments for the sector. For example, Alibaba’s stock price dropped substantially post FY4Q25 results partially because CAPEX recorded over 20% QoQ decline, even though sales and profitability were generally in-line with market expectation. Therefore, we believe the return of NVIDIA H20 Chips and the relaxation of US chip export restriction will bring higher visibility for CAPEX commitment and bode well for the overall AI industry sentiments.

Moreover, the recent investments by Alibaba, Meituan, and JD in the food delivery sector have raised market concerns, shifting the market’s attention towards intensified price competition within the quick commerce sector. If the enhanced AI narratives encourage companies to realign their focus on AI strategies, which present substantially greater potential and enhanced synergies, this transition could offer solid support for their stock price performance. The build up of AI infrastructure will also accelerate AI application in China, benefiting domestic Software/AI companies across the board.

Global X China Cloud Computing ETF (2826/9826) offers direct exposure to China AI themes through invest in Large Internet platforms/cloud providers, software/AI companies, and data centre. Top 4 holdings are internet companies (Alibaba, Baidu, Tencent, NetEase) that collectively accounts for 37% in weightings. (Mirae Asset, 15 July 2025)

Global X China Cloud Computing ETF (2826/9826) – Top 10 Holdings

Company Ticker Net Asset (%)
Alibaba BABA US 9.44
Baidu BIDU US 9.24
Tencent 700 HK 8.97
NetEase NTES US 8.94
iFlytek 002230 CH 6.35
Beijing Kingsoft Office 688111 CH 4.69
Horizon Robotics 9660 HK 4.05
GDS GDS US 3.99
Hundsun Technologies 600570 CH 3.69
Kingdee 268 HK 3.62
Kingsoft Corp 3888 HK 3.22

Source: Mirae Asset; 15 July 2025

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