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Global X Asia Semiconductor ETF (3119) Review: Bottoming out of the Semiconductor Cycle

By: Edward Chan

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Global X Asia Semiconductor ETF delivered solid performance YTD

The Global X Asia Semiconductor ETF provide diversified exposure to the entire semiconductor supply chain here in Asia. Asian companies are global leaders in a number of subsegments in the industry such as foundry, memory and semiconductor equipment. The fund’s positive return year-to-date1 can be attributed to two main factors: One, bottoming out of the cycle in most semiconductor categories including logic and memory. Two, the accelerated commercialization of AI consequently brought incremental demand for AI-related semiconductors.

Memory cycle bottom out

Analyzing the past 4 cycles, memory stock prices usually bottom before/at inventory peaks while DRAM prices bottom after inventory peaks. The strength in memory share prices is driven by 1) better visibility of cycle bottom as memory makers expect their inventory to peak in 2Q23. DRAM prices already hit cash cost 1H23 investors see limited downside from the current level.1 2) Production cut from all three major DRAM suppliers. Micron announced over 20% production cut at the end of last year, followed by SK Hynix and Samsung this year.2 Lower bit supply growth from producers will help speed up the normalisation of inventory levels. 3) The increasing penetration in DDR5 (Double Data Rate) and AI server adoption of HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) improve memory demand and blended pricing.1

Authored by:

Edward Chan

5 Jul 2023

Date : 5 Jul 2023

Category : Research & Insights

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