China Clean Energy: Capture Investment Opportunities Beyond Solar - Global X ETFs Hong Kong

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  • Global X China Clean Energy ETF’s (the “Fund’s”) investment in equity securities is subject to general market risks, whose value may fluctuate due to various factors, such as changes in investment sentiment, political and economic conditions and issuer-specific factors.
  • Many clean energy companies are involved in the development and commercialization of new technologies, which may be subject to delays resulting from budget constraints and technological difficulties. Obsolescence of existing technology, short product cycles, falling prices and profits, competition from new market entrants and general economic conditions also significantly affect the clean energy sector.
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China Clean Energy:
Capture Investment Opportunities Beyond Solar

By: Lizzy Liu

Concerns about oversupply in the solar manufacturing sector persist. Beyond solar stocks, however, the China Clean Energy ETF (2809 HK) offers diversified exposure to broader clean energy industries such as clean energy utilities, power equipment, wind and hydro, which we believe could offer more resilient returns. In the following sections, we will provide more comprehensive updates of each sector.

China power demand growth has sustainably outperformed GDP growth. In 1H24, China’s power demand rose 8.1% YoY, reaching 4,658bn kWh, while China added 152.8GW of power capacity. Despite oversupply concerns weighing on the performance of solar industry, other clean energy sectors in China have shown robust performance: 1) Hydro: strong hydropower generation in 2024 supported by adequate water flow; 2) Wind: a rally on recent progress in several offshore wind projects; 3) Power and grid equipment: positive policy support from increased investment in power grids as well as growing opportunities in overseas markets.

1. Hydro: Strong Power Generation Supported by Ample Water Flow

According to the China National Climate Center, the national average precipitation between July 16 and August 15 this year reached 132.5 millimeters, 12.8% higher than that of a normal year. This figure ranks as the fifth highest in historical records since 1961 for this specific timeframe.

In 3Q24 (QTD), the inflow and outflow at the Three Gorges increased by 51% and 83% YoY, respectively. According to the China National Meteorological Centre (NMC), from August 20 to August 29, regions in South China, western and southern Yunnan, and southern Tibet are anticipated to experience cumulative rainfall ranging from 50 to 120mm, with certain areas possibly receiving over 150 mm. Overall, precipitation in these regions is expected to be 30% to 70% above normal levels.

2. Wind: Accelerated Offshore Wind Approval Enhancing Market Confidence

In July, Shanghai announced the approval of 29.3GW of offshore wind projects, while 7GW of Guangdong’s offshore projects in provincial waters, introduced in 2023, received approval by July 24. Additionally, a significant number of projects initiated competitive bidding in 2024, particularly in new offshore wind markets. Guangxi has begun bidding for a substantial 6.5GW long-distance offshore wind project (over 100km, compared to the national average of 40km in 2023). Furthermore, several coastal provinces, including Zhejiang, Shanghai, Liaoning, and Hebei, have unveiled new offshore wind targets or plans, while Hainan has raised its previous targets, thus bolstering long-term domestic demand for offshore wind energy.

China’s State Grid has set its new annual investment budget for 2024 at over Rmb600bn (approximately US$83bn), representing an increase of Rmb71.1bn or more than 13% YoY. This growth exceeds the previously established target of over 5% growth set at the beginning of the year. The additional funding will be allocated to three key areas: 1) the construction of ultra-high voltage (UHV) DC and AC transmission projects; 2) the enhancement of national grid infrastructure and interconnection with regional grids; and 3) the upgrading of power grid digitalization.

In August, the government introduced an Action Plan to Accelerate the Construction of New Power System for 2024-2027. This plan outlines nine key actions designed to expedite the development of a new power system through grid upgrades, increased local renewable energy consumption, and improved power grid flexibility.

Companies involved in power grid equipment, such as XJ Electric, NARI, and Pinggao, are expected to benefit from these initiatives.

3. Power and Grid Equipment

China’s State Grid has set its new annual investment budget for 2024 at over Rmb600bn (approximately US$83bn), representing an increase of Rmb71.1bn or more than 13% YoY. This growth exceeds the previously established target of over 5% growth set at the beginning of the year. The additional funding will be allocated to three key areas: 1) the construction of ultra-high voltage (UHV) DC and AC transmission projects; 2) the enhancement of national grid infrastructure and interconnection with regional grids; and 3) the upgrading of power grid digitalization.

In August, the government introduced an Action Plan to Accelerate the Construction of New Power System for 2024-2027. This plan outlines nine key actions designed to expedite the development of a new power system through grid upgrades, increased local renewable energy consumption, and improved power grid flexibility.

Companies involved in power grid equipment, such as XJ Electric, NARI, and Pinggao, are expected to benefit from these initiatives.

Growing opportunities for Chinese grid equipment in overseas markets: Demand for transformers continues to be strong, as demonstrated by significant YoY and MoM increases. In July, transformer exports rose by 27% YoY and 4% MoM, thanks largely to increased demand from North America and Europe. Similarly, meter exports in July experienced a 30% YoY increase, primarily driven by a surge in demand from Africa, while Europe reported a 17% YoY growth.

Related Global X ETFs’ Product

Global X China Clean Energy ETF
(2809 HK)
Listing Date 17 Jan 2020
Reference Index Solactive China Clean Energy Index NTR1
Primary Exchange Hong Kong Stock Exchange
Ongoing Charges Over A Year2 0.68% p.a.
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