Join Victor Cheung, Head of Investment Solutions at Global X ETFs Hong Kong, as he explains the Japan global leader strategy and how this ETF can provide investors with unique investment opportunities in the Japanese market.
With the relatively weak Japanese Yen, leading Japanese export companies are becoming increasingly competitive and are anticipated to be crucial growth drivers in the future.
Particularly Japan is home to the world's largest high-end manufacturers, producing a wide range of consumer electronics, computers, consumer vehicles, semiconductors, and medical devices. Even if the Japanese Yen were to strengthen in the future, Japan's exports would remain difficult to replace.
Berkshire Hathaway, the US investment company led by Warren Buffet, started investing in Japan stocks in 2020 and topped up regularly since then. Japan became the second largest market in Warren Buffet’s portfolio aside from US1. The stocks he invested are primarily Japanese trading companies, including Mitsubishi Corp., Mitsui & Co., Itochu, Marubeni and Sumitomo Corp.2
Warren Buffet is well known as a value investor. These trading companies are trading at a meaningful discount relative to industry average. At the same time, the companies demonstrated strong cashflow generation capabilities relative to their peers.3
Trading companies are serving as private equity funds in Japan. They make good use of their wide-reaching network to seek out new investment opportunities and diversify their business into several industries, from mining, food & beverage, retail to agriculture. By investing in these Japanese trading companies, investors have exposures from Japanese materials, consumer staples to energy sector.
Japan has implemented an ultra-loose monetary policy for years to stimulate economic growth. With the Bank of Japan's yield curve control policy in place, the yield on Japan's 10-year government bonds remains below 1%, while the U.S. 10-year Treasury is trading around 5%.4 This low government yield, often considered as the earning discount rate, provides a significant advantage to the Japanese equity market, particularly for growth companies.
As evidence of this favorable environment, Japan has witnessed exceptional inflation-adjusted earnings growth over the past decade. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of the Nikkei 225 reached 6.4%, surpassing the performance of the S&P 500, CSI 300, and Stoxx 600.5 This demonstrates that Japan's real earnings growth outperforms other markets. Moreover, with the weakening of the Yen, Japan's export sector is expected to become even more competitive.
Japan's ultra-loose monetary policy brings out the emergence of inflation. With nearly full labor participation and a declining working population, strong wage growth has propelled Japan towards reflation after the challenging "lost decades". A study conducted by Rengo, the Japanese Trade Union Confederation, on July 3, 2023, revealed a record-high wage increase rate of 3.58%, surpassing the 3.90% increase observed in 1993.6
Traditionally, Japanese households developed a tendency to hold cash or deposits during the era of deflation. However, as Japan enters a new phase of inflationary periods, this behavior is expected to shift. To preserve their purchasing power, Japanese individuals now recognize the need to invest in equities. This shift in investor behavior will serve as a driving force behind the growth of Japan's equity market.
In early 2023, the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) took a significant step towards corporate governance reform by releasing guidelines for listed companies. These guidelines urge companies to undertake three key actions: 1) identify the company's cost of capital and enhance capital efficiency, 2) evaluate stock price and market capitalization, and 3) disclose policies and specific initiatives for improvement, particularly for companies with a price-to-book (PB) ratio below 1.
The TSE's initiative aims to boost the growth potential of companies and attract investments to revitalize Japan's stock market. Responding to the TSE's call, an increasing number of companies are implementing share buybacks and increasing dividends. In fact, according to an analysis by Nikkei, Japanese company dividends reached a record high in 2023.7
Looking beyond short-term solutions, it is expected that listed companies will also take measures to generate capital returns and achieve sustainable growth. This long-term focus on capital returns and sustainable growth will serve as a continuously beneficial factor for investors.
Stock Code | 3150 (HKD) # |
Underlying Index | FactSet Japan Global Leaders Index * |
Ongoing Charges Over A Year^ | 0.68% |
Inception Date | 24 Nov 2023 |
# Investment involves risk. Before making any investment decision to invest in the Fund, investors should read the Fund’s Prospectus for details and the risk factors. Visit Global X ETFs Hong Kong website for more details relating to this Fund (including but not limited to the Fund’s iNAV, market price, performance, daily holdings and tracking difference / error).
* The underlying index is a net total return, free-float market capitalization-weighted index that provides the net total return on investments. The net total return index is an index whose performance reflects the reinvestment of dividends or annual interest payments, net of any withholding taxes (including any special charges).
^ The Fund adopts a single management fee structure, whereby a single flat fee will be paid out of the assets of the Fund to cover all of the costs, fees and expenses of the Fund. Click [?] to learn more.