Quarterly Earning Update - Global X China Electric Vehicle and Battery ETF (2845) - Global X ETFs Hong Kong

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Quarterly Earning Update – Global X China Electric Vehicle and Battery ETF (2845)

By: Bingyao Chen

Industry Update

Divergent August EV Sales: According to CPCA, August NEV wholesale sales volume was 1.3mn, +10% YoY, +24% MoM. By individual brand, BYD reported August NEV PV sales of 374k units, flat YoY and +9% MoM. Overseas sales contributed 22%. Xpeng recorded YoY sales growth of +169% YoY to 38k, with MONA exceeding 15k. Li Auto sold 28.5 units in the month, -41% YoY. Management now targets monthly BEV sales to reach 18-20k units at a steady state. (for reference only, abovementioned stocks are not necessarily in the constituent list of the ETF).

Battery material costs remained low: Battery grade lithium carbonate price at the last week of August was Rmb77.5k/ton, -3.1% wow, -5%/+1%/+2%/+18% vs. average of 3Q24/4Q24/1Q25/2Q25. Battery materials prices have decreased by over 80% from its peak in 2022, supporting the continued cost optimization for battery makers and EV manufacturers. (Goldman Sachs, August 2025) 

Stock Comments

Shenzhen Inovance recorded 18% return in the month, a key contributor to the ETF. The company reported better than expected 2Q25 results, with revenue rising 19% YoY to Rmb 11.5bn and recurring Net Profit rising 13% YoY to Rmb 1.4bn. Inovance is spending increasing efforts on humanoid robot components, and is developing a series of modularized and standardized products. The company targets to debut humanoid robot components around September.  (Company Data, Mirae Asset, August 2025)

CATL recorded 16% return in the month, a key contributor to the ETF. The company reported solid 2Q25 results, with record high net profit of Rmb 16.5bn (+34% YoY) driven by overseas expansion. Battery unit profit remains stable at Rmb110/kWh, thanks to raw material cost deflation and well executed cost control. In 1H25, overseas markets marked 34% revenue contribution amid robust EV momentum in Europe, while overseas GPM edged up by 4ppt to 29%. (Company Data, Mirae Asset, August 2025)

Tuopu recorded 36% gain in the month, a key contributor to the ETF. 2Q25 result was a slight be, with revenue up 9.7% YoY/24.3% QoQ to Rmb7.17bn, which we mainly attribute to its active penetration into domestic OEMs. Tuopu is already partnering with global top humanoid robot manufacturers on linear actuators, rotary actuators and dexterous hand motors. It is also tapping into other robot-related areas such as body structures, sensors, foot shock absorbers and electronic flexible skins. (Company Data, Mirae Asset, August 2025)

BYD reported a relatively weak set of quarterly results, with 2Q25 earnings of Rmb6.4bn (-30% YoY and -31% QoQ), below market expectations. Revenue grew 14% YoY to Rmb201bn. GPM was the key disappointment, with 2Q GPM falling 3.8ppts QoQ to 16.3%, dragged by dealer rebates, BoM cost increase, and price cuts in May. Price cut and Deal rebates could be oneoff and not extended into 2H. With stabilizing price and government’s ongoing anti-involution campaign, unit profit in the domestic market could further recover into 2H. On the other hand, overseas volume is tracking better than expectation, supporting both revenue and profit growth for BYD. Despite near term headwinds, long term outlook for BYD remains robust on the back of its vertical integration, technology leadership, and rapidly expanding global footprint. (Company Data, Mirae Asset, September 2025)

Preview

We remain positive on the long term growth potential for EV and battery value chain, along with the upward EV penetration trajectory. Domestic old car replacement demand, as stimulated by scaled-up auto trade-in program (which has been extended in 2025), together with export sales, should support China’s resilient auto momentum and benefit leading domestic brands. Anti-involution campaign by the government could potentially improve the pricing environment. We expect the China auto market to stay competitive with strong new product line-up and technology innovations from leading EV and battery brands, and new entrants such as Xiaomi. BYD’s launch of God’s Eye ADAS in mass market model should accelerate smart driving adoption in China. Geopolitical tensions remain the key risks, but China EV models will still remain competitive under new tariff landscape thanks to its cost advantages. Localized production will be the longer term solution for Chinese brands.

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